Evidence since September 2022 shows that climate‑change‑driven extreme weather has indeed continued to cause significant disruptions to food production, prices, and supply chains:

• The strong 2023–2024 El Niño produced widespread droughts, floods, and heat waves that "negatively affected" agriculture and fishing worldwide, causing shortages and rising prices for staples such as rice, palm oil, sugar cane, soybeans, and corn. (en.wikipedia.org)
• A 2024/2025 UN regional food security report for Latin America and the Caribbean concludes that climate variability and extreme weather (droughts, floods, storms) are reducing agricultural productivity, disrupting food supply chains, and increasing prices, threatening progress on hunger and malnutrition. (paho.org)
• The World Food Programme (2025) warns that storms, floods, and droughts are displacing people, disrupting agricultural systems, and breaking up supply chains, and explicitly links these impacts to rising food insecurity as the climate warms. (wfp.org)
• Industry analyses in 2025 describe extreme weather as "wreaking havoc" on harvests, creating ingredient shortages, and disrupting logistics (e.g., low river levels in Europe), with the result that extreme weather is reshaping global food supply and causing ongoing supply chain chaos. (foodnavigator.com)
• Commodity‑specific reporting shows major climate impacts on key crops: for example, analysts attribute the more‑than‑doubling of cocoa and coffee prices largely to unusual rainfall patterns and higher temperatures in major producing regions, and warn of continued food price volatility driven by extreme weather. (theguardian.com)
• Broader assessments (e.g., UN/UNICEF and media syntheses) repeatedly find that climate‑amplified droughts, floods, and heat waves are a growing driver of food price spikes and food insecurity, alongside conflict and economic shocks. (reuters.com)

Taken together, these sources show that in the quarters and years following September 2022, climate‑change‑driven extreme weather has continued and has had critical, measurable impacts on agricultural output, food prices, and the functioning of global and regional food supply chains. This aligns closely with Friedberg’s prediction, so it is best classified as right.