As of November 30, 2025, Dave Chappelle has not launched his own standalone subscription streaming service for comedy. His major releases since 2016 have been through Netflix under a lucrative multi-special deal, including recent specials like The Closer (2021) and The Dreamer (2023), all distributed by Netflix rather than via any Chappelle-owned platform.(en.wikipedia.org) Searches for any Chappelle-branded or Pilot Boy–branded paid streaming service show no evidence of such a product; the only relevant historical reporting concerns him potentially doing a show for existing services like Netflix or Crackle, not building his own service.(digitalmediawire.com) Because the condition of the prediction (“if he were to create his own Netflix”) has never been met, there is no observed subscriber count to compare against the 10 million figure. The prediction is therefore neither confirmed nor falsified by real-world events and must be rated as ambiguous.