As of November 30, 2025, Dave Chappelle: The Closer is still available to stream on Netflix’s official site, indicating that Netflix has not removed the special.(netflix.com) Coverage of Netflix controversies and “most controversial series” explicitly notes that, despite intense criticism and calls from advocacy groups to pull the title, The Closer was never removed from the platform.(the-independent.com)

However, the original prediction was probabilistic (“I give it a 50% chance that Netflix takes it down”) and did not specify a time horizon—it referred to removal “at some point in the future.” Since:

1. The event (Netflix taking down The Closer) has not occurred yet, but
2. The prediction only assigned a 50% probability and did not expire by a given date,

we cannot strictly label the forecast as right or wrong from a single outcome at a still-ongoing time horizon. We can say the removal has not happened so far, but we cannot definitively falsify a 50% long-run probability claim with an open-ended future. Therefore, under the given scoring options, the status of the prediction is best classified as inconclusive (too early) rather than right or wrong.