Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Sacks @ 01:02:07Inconclusive
tech
OpenAI (or its associated infrastructure partners) will operate at least one data center of roughly 10 gigawatts of power capacity by around 2030 (approximately five years from the 2025 recording date), following an intermediate ramp through ~2–3 GW in 2026–2027 and ~5 GW in the subsequent couple of years.
So you could get to a ten gigawatt in, I don't know, probably five years, something like that.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of November 30, 2025, it is far too early to determine whether this 2030-ish prediction is correct.

The claim is that by around 2030 (about five years after the October 2025 recording), OpenAI or its close infrastructure partners will be operating at least one data center of roughly 10 GW power capacity, with an intermediate ramp of ~2–3 GW in 2026–2027 and ~5 GW in the following couple of years.

Even with up‑to‑date news and industry reporting, there is no way in 2025 to verify what OpenAI’s or its partners’ data center fleet will look like in 2028–2030; at most we can observe current build‑outs, announced projects, and power contracts. Those do not constitute confirmation or refutation of a specific 2030‑scale outcome yet. Any judgment now would be speculative rather than factual.

Because the prediction’s evaluation window is centered on future years (2028–2030) and has not arrived, the correct status as of late 2025 is "inconclusive (too early)".