Sacks @ 00:57:31Inconclusive
economymarkets
Over the coming rate‑cut cycle starting in late 2025, lower interest rates will stimulate US economic growth and improve the US fiscal position, contributing to a generally strong ("bullish") US economy in 2026.
But regardless of what it is, I think that most people think interest rates are coming and that's going to juice the economy and further improve our fiscal position. So look for 26. I think there's a lot of bullish factors here.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction is primarily about conditions in 2026:
- A rate‑cut cycle starting in late 2025.
- Those lower rates stimulating US economic growth in 2026.
- An improved US fiscal position and a generally bullish US economy in 2026.
As of November 30, 2025, 2026 has not yet occurred, so we cannot assess:
- Whether 2026 GDP growth, labor markets, markets, and broader conditions will in fact be “bullish.”
- Whether the US fiscal position (deficit, debt trajectory, interest costs as % of GDP) will have improved during 2026 as a result of the rate‑cut cycle.
Even if we fully knew the Fed’s actions by late 2025 (e.g., whether they have begun cutting rates), the core of the prediction is about outcomes in 2026, which are still in the future relative to the current date. Because those outcomes cannot yet be observed or measured, the prediction cannot be judged as right or wrong at this time.
Therefore, the correct classification is “inconclusive (too early)”.