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Last updated Nov 29, 2025
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Sacks @ 00:30:26Right
politicseconomy
Regardless of the specific IEEPA case outcome, the U.S. Supreme Court will not issue a ruling by October 14, 2025 that requires a material rollback or cessation of Trump’s then-current tariff policy; tariffs will remain substantially in place using alternative statutory authority if needed.
Well, I'm not concerned about the fate of tariffs at the Supreme Court, even though it's probably a coin flip. Whether the Supreme Court's going to allow the tariffs under Ieepa. But there are five different laws under which the president has the authority to impose these tariffs... So at the end of the day, I think it's actually quite unlikely that the Supreme Court's going to force a change in tariff policy.View on YouTube
Explanation

Sacks predicted that by October 14, 2025 (the Federal Circuit’s stay-expiry date) the U.S. Supreme Court would not issue a ruling requiring a material rollback or cessation of Trump’s then‑current tariff policy, and that the tariffs would remain substantially in place, with the option to rely on alternative statutory authority.

What actually happened by October 14, 2025:

  1. Lower courts ruled the IEEPA tariffs illegal but stayed their effect.
    The Court of International Trade and then the Federal Circuit held that Trump’s broad “Liberation Day”/IEEPA tariffs exceeded his statutory authority, but the Federal Circuit stayed its ruling until October 14, 2025 to allow an appeal. These decisions expressly left the tariffs in place pending Supreme Court review. (law.justia.com)

  2. Supreme Court took the case but did not decide it by October 14.
    On September 9, 2025, the Supreme Court granted certiorari and fast‑tracked the consolidated cases Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump (No. 24‑1287) and Trump v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. (No. 25‑250), setting oral argument for November 5, 2025. As of that date and through October 14, 2025, the docket listed the opinion as TBD and showed no merits ruling. (supreme.justia.com) A Brownstein client alert after argument similarly notes that the Court heard argument on Nov. 5 and that a decision is still pending. (bhfs.com)

  3. Tariffs remained in force past October 14.
    Coverage of the appeals and Supreme Court grant consistently reports that, despite the illegality findings, Trump’s IEEPA‑based tariffs remained in effect during the appeal window and into the Supreme Court phase, at least through mid‑October. (apnews.com) Subsequent analyses after certiorari emphasize that the IEEPA tariffs will remain in effect pending the Supreme Court’s decision. (bhfs.com)

  4. Trump’s broader tariff regime was still substantially intact.
    The “Liberation Day” tariffs—Trump’s signature second‑term global tariff policy imposed via Executive Order 14257 under IEEPA—continued to apply broad baseline and reciprocal tariffs on imports. (en.wikipedia.org) Other Trump tariffs under different statutes (e.g., Section 232 metals and autos, and separate Venezuela‑related tariffs) were unaffected by the IEEPA litigation and remained in place as well. (en.wikipedia.org) Commentary around the case also notes that, even if the IEEPA route is ultimately struck down, the administration can and intends to pivot to other statutory authorities to preserve tariff policy. (en.wikipedia.org)

Putting this together: By October 14, 2025, the Supreme Court had issued no merits ruling at all in the tariff cases, let alone one compelling a material rollback or cessation of Trump’s tariff policy, and Trump’s key tariffs remained substantially in effect. That matches Sacks’s prediction, including the core claim about the absence of a Supreme Court‑mandated rollback by that date.