If you look, for example, in the last five year period in China or Canada, where both of them two totally different political regimes. But they both had the same thing happen, which is the the amount of investment capital that went into both of those countries fell off of a cliff for two totally separate reasons. What is interesting is going to be what is the downstream impact of that in ten and 15 and 20 years. And you can look historically back and we know what this looks like, which is countries stagnate in the absence of investment and risk capital. So you will become a marginalized also ran country.View on YouTube
The prediction explicitly concerns long‑run outcomes "in ten and 15 and 20 years" after the point of reduced investment capital, i.e., roughly in the 2035–2045 window. The episode itself is dated May 9, 2025, so as of today (November 30, 2025) at most about half a year has elapsed since the prediction was made, far short of the 10–20 year horizon.(allin.onpodcastai.com)
Because the claim is about whether China and Canada will ultimately stagnate and become “also‑ran” economies relative to more investment‑rich peers, there is not yet enough elapsed time or data to determine whether that long‑term scenario will materialize. We also cannot yet know whether the antecedent condition (persistently depressed risk capital over a decade or more) will actually hold.
Given the time frame and conditional nature of the claim, the correct status as of 2025‑11‑30 is "inconclusive (too early to tell)."