ALL INPredictions
Last updated Nov 29, 2025
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Jason @ 00:09:56Inconclusive
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Between now and the end of 2026, the All-In team will host additional 200–500 person live events similar to the Miami F1 event, including at least one tied to another major sporting event such as F1 Austin, F1 Las Vegas, the Super Bowl, or the NBA Finals.
Wonderful event. We're going to do it again. We're going to run it back, I think for maybe F1, Austin Vegas and we're going to and maybe Vegas. Who knows, maybe the Super Bowl, maybe NBA finals. We're going to do some more of these 200 to 500 person events.View on YouTube
Explanation

The prediction is defined over the window from the podcast date (May 9, 2025) through the end of 2026, so there is still more than a year left in the forecast horizon as of November 30, 2025.

Evidence so far:

  • The All-In team has run a major 200–500 person F1‑linked live event in Miami, with a live show at the Fontainebleau and trackside experiences over the 2025 Miami Grand Prix weekend. However, this is the reference event Jason is talking about ("run it back"), not an "additional" one after the prediction was made.(allin.com)
  • After that episode, their public events and live productions include:
    • A series of “All-In Live from Miami” episodes and the Nico Rosberg "All-In Live from Miami" show, but those are recordings from the same F1 Miami live activation, not clearly separate 200–500 person events tied to a different major sporting event.(pod.wave.co)
    • An "All-In Live from Austin" taping (episode 245, April 3, 2025), which is a live show but not obviously tied to a major sporting event like F1 Austin, the Super Bowl, or the NBA Finals.(metacast.app)
    • Large non‑sports live events in San Francisco: the 2024 All-In Holiday Spectacular at the Palace of Fine Arts and the upcoming All-In Holiday Party on December 6, 2025. These are marketed as live show + afterparty experiences with casino games, DJs, etc., but they are holiday/Community events, not linked to a concurrent major sports event.(allin.com)
  • The current events page and recent episode summaries on allin.com list the Holiday Party but do not advertise any additional live events tied to F1 Austin, F1 Las Vegas, the Super Bowl, or the NBA Finals (or similar), nor do they document that a Vegas or other live taping was explicitly structured as part of a major sporting event.(allin.com)

Because:

  1. the prediction’s deadline (end of 2026) has not passed, and
  2. there is no clear, documented post‑May‑9‑2025 live event tied to another major sporting event that would lock the prediction in as already true, we cannot classify it as either definitively right or wrong yet. The correct status as of November 30, 2025 is "inconclusive" (too early to tell).