Available reporting indicates that after Donald Trump’s 2024 victory, there were no Capitol-style riots or similar large-scale violent protests over the election result involving mobs attacking police.

Key points:

• Donald Trump did win the 2024 U.S. presidential election over Kamala Harris, so the scenario Jason was talking about (a clear Trump victory) did occur. (en.wikipedia.org)
• The January 6, 2025 joint session of Congress to certify the 2024 electoral votes proceeded in an orderly, peaceful manner. Associated Press explicitly contrasted it with 2021, noting that Congress certified Trump’s win “without the Jan. 6 mob violence of four years ago,” and that there were no objections and no disruption. (apnews.com)
• Analyses of the fourth anniversary of Jan. 6 likewise reported that Capitol proceedings on January 6, 2025 “proceeded without incident”, underscoring the absence of a repeat of the 2021-style attack or mass assaults on police in connection with the 2024 result. (politico.com)
• Large post-election or post-inauguration opposition events—such as the People’s March in Washington on January 18, 2025, organized by Women’s March and allied groups—were sizable but described as largely peaceful, with only minor scuffles (e.g., a Trump supporter briefly interrupting the march and being removed by police), not riots or mass attacks on law enforcement. (en.wikipedia.org)
• There was political violence in the broader period (assassination attempts on Trump, isolated shootings and murders linked to election-related arguments), but these were individual criminal incidents, not "Capitol-style" riots or mass protests beating police officers over the 2024 result. (en.wikipedia.org)
• Major violent protests and riots during Trump’s second term—for example, the June–July 2025 Los Angeles protests against mass deportations, which involved arson, looting, and clashes with LAPD and federal agents—were tied to immigration and deportation policies, not to disputing the 2024 election outcome itself. (en.wikipedia.org)

Given that (a) the election certification and inauguration period passed without a Jan. 6-style mob attack on the Capitol or similar mass assault on police over the result, and (b) subsequent large-scale violent protests were about policy rather than overturning the 2024 election, Jason’s prediction that “we're not going to have riots at the Capitol and people beating up police officers” in the wake of Trump’s 2024 victory matches what actually happened.