The prediction claims that, following the 2024 defeat, Democrats will continue and intensify a strategic shift to the political center "over the coming election cycles." That’s both directional (more centrist) and temporal (multiple election cycles), so by November 2025 we are only in the very early part of the forecast window.

Evidence is mixed and still evolving:

• Institutionally, House moderates have gained ground. The New Democrat Coalition (a centrist/center‑left caucus) now comprises over half of House Democrats and is the party’s largest ideological bloc, suggesting at least some organizational pull toward the center. (en.wikipedia.org)
• That caucus has pushed explicitly centrist policy frames, e.g., a 2025 immigration framework that emphasizes stronger border enforcement and deportations alongside expanded legal pathways, marketed as a pragmatic middle ground aimed at 2026 swing‑district voters. (newdemocratcoalition.house.gov)
• Outside groups like WelcomePAC and allied strategists (Axelrod, Plouffe, Carville) are publicly urging Democrats to moderate positions on immigration, crime, and cultural issues and to refocus on bread‑and‑butter economics—clear advocacy for a centrist realignment, but not proof that the whole party has already adopted it. (politico.com)
• At the same time, there are strong counter‑currents: progressive energy and anger after Trump’s reelection, calls for more aggressive left‑populist leadership, and phenomena like “Dark Woke,” which explicitly push more confrontational progressive messaging rather than a pivot to the center. (theguardian.com)
• In high‑profile local politics, figures identified with democratic socialism, such as Zohran Mamdani winning the 2025 New York City Democratic mayoral primary, indicate that in some blue constituencies the party is not obviously moving toward the center in its standard‑bearers or rhetoric. (en.wikipedia.org)
• The DNC’s official “autopsy” of the 2024 loss is still being slow‑walked into late 2025, and internal debates over direction remain unresolved, which underlines that there is no fully settled, party‑wide strategic line yet. (washingtonpost.com)

Because:

1. The prediction explicitly concerns "coming election cycles" (plural), which clearly extends beyond 2025 (at least through the 2026 midterms, and likely to 2028), and
2. Current evidence shows an internal tug‑of‑war rather than a clearly consolidated, intensified centrist strategy across the Democratic Party as a whole,

it is too early to say whether the prediction is definitively right or wrong. The trajectory could still break decisively either toward a sustained centrist pivot or toward a more combative progressive direction as later cycles unfold.