Last updated Nov 29, 2025
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If Wiz maintains its current high growth rate, its public market valuation (equity market cap) could reach roughly $100 billion, comparable to Palo Alto Networks, within approximately two years of this July 26, 2024 episode (i.e., by around mid-2026).
if Wiz continues to grow at this rate, it's conceivable they could be in the range of a Palo Alto Networks $100 billion market cap in a couple of years.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of November 30, 2025, Wiz remains a privately held company pending acquisition by Alphabet/Google, and therefore does not have a standalone public market equity valuation or market capitalization.

Key facts:

  • Wiz raised $1 billion at a $12 billion valuation in May 2024, one of the highest valuations for a cybersecurity startup at that time. (techcrunch.com)
  • Google’s initial 2024 acquisition talks at around a $23 billion valuation fell through, with Wiz choosing to pursue an eventual IPO instead. (forbes.com)
  • In March 2025, Alphabet agreed to acquire Wiz for about $32 billion in cash, Google’s largest acquisition ever and the biggest cybersecurity deal to date. (techcrunch.com)
  • That deal is expected to close in 2026, at which point Wiz will be absorbed into Google Cloud rather than trading independently as a public company. (spglobal.com)

The prediction being evaluated is: If Wiz maintains its current high growth rate, its public market valuation could reach roughly $100 billion, comparable to Palo Alto Networks, within about two years of July 26, 2024 (i.e., by mid‑2026).

Because:

  1. The time horizon (mid‑2026) has not yet elapsed as of November 30, 2025; and
  2. Wiz has not become a public company with its own market cap, but instead is slated to be acquired and integrated into Alphabet at a ~$32B valuation,

we cannot determine whether Wiz would have reached a ~$100B public market cap by mid‑2026 had it remained independent and gone public. There is no observable public-market test of the prediction yet, and the deadline has not passed.

Therefore, the correct status for this prediction is “inconclusive (too early)”.