Alphabet/Google never actually proceeded with an acquisition of HubSpot. In early April 2024, reports said Alphabet was considering a bid for HubSpot, but no formal offer was made and no deal was announced.【0search9】 On July 10, 2024, Bloomberg and Reuters reported that Alphabet had shelved its efforts to acquire HubSpot and that the talks had never progressed to due diligence.【0search1】【0search6】 Subsequent coverage described this as a "failed" or abandoned deal, with HubSpot continuing as an independent public company into late 2024 and 2025.【0news14】

Chamath's prediction was conditional: if Google proceeded with acquiring HubSpot, antitrust review and approval would take on the order of three years from announcement to close. Because Google never proceeded to an announced acquisition, the antitrust-review timeline he predicted was never tested in reality. There is therefore no observable outcome by which to judge whether "three years" would have been accurate.

Since the necessary condition (a formal Google–HubSpot acquisition attempt) did not occur, the correctness of the predicted 3-year review period cannot be determined. Hence the result is ambiguous, not right or wrong.