Last updated Nov 29, 2025
conflictpolitics
Following the late-January 2024 drone attack that killed U.S. troops at Tower 22, the Biden administration will carry out some form of military retaliatory strike within the ensuing weeks, likely targeting either Iran-backed militias in Syria and/or Iraq, or Iranian assets directly.
there is going to be some sort of retaliatory strike. It might be focused on these militias in Syria and Iraq. It could be attacking Iranian assets. We don't knowView on YouTube
Explanation

Evidence shows the prediction came true:

  • The Tower 22 drone attack on a U.S. outpost in Jordan occurred on 28 January 2024, killing three U.S. soldiers and wounding dozens.(en.wikipedia.org)
  • On 2 February 2024, the U.S. launched large-scale retaliatory airstrikes explicitly described as a response to the Jordan/Tower 22 attack. These strikes hit more than 85 targets across seven facilities used by Iran-backed militias and Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Quds Force in Iraq and Syria.(defense.gov)

This matches Sacks’s forecast on all key points:

  1. Retaliatory strike occurs – The Biden administration did carry out military retaliation.
  2. Timing – The strikes began on 2 February 2024, just five days after the 28 January attack, well within the “ensuing weeks” window.(en.wikipedia.org)
  3. Targets – The operations focused on Iran-backed militias in Syria and Iraq and facilities associated with the IRGC Quds Force, i.e., Iranian-linked assets, exactly in line with his described options (“militias in Syria and Iraq” and/or “Iranian assets”).(defense.gov)

Given the direct retaliatory strikes within days against Iran-backed militias in Iraq and Syria, the prediction is accurate.