As of November 30, 2025, Congress has not yet passed any new amendment to Section 230 since FOSTA–SESTA in 2018; major overviews of Section 230 still list only the DMCA (1998) and FOSTA–SESTA (2018) as statutory changes to its liability protections, with no later amendments recorded.​(en.wikipedia.org)

The TAKE IT DOWN Act (signed May 19, 2025) creates federal obligations for platforms to remove non‑consensual intimate imagery and deepfake pornography, but both detailed coverage and the Section 230 article explicitly note that it does not directly amend Section 230; instead, it defines new illegal content categories whose distribution is outside Section 230’s protections.​(en.wikipedia.org) That means it is not the “narrow change in Section 230” Chamath was predicting, even though it increases certain obligations on platforms.

Multiple narrow, targeted Section 230 reform bills focused on large social media companies have been introduced in the 119th Congress—e.g., the Algorithm Accountability Act and S.3193, which would limit immunity for harms caused by recommendation algorithms on large platforms—but as of late November 2025 these bills are only at the “introduced / in committee” stage and have not been enacted.​(congress.gov) Other efforts, such as sunset or repeal proposals led by Senators Graham and Durbin or repeal amendments like S.Amdt.1250, likewise have not become law.​(theverge.com)

Chamath’s prediction allowed 2–3 years from February 2, 2024, i.e., until roughly early 2027. Since we are only about 1 year and 10 months into that window and no qualifying amendment has yet passed—but several live proposals remain under consideration—it is too early to say whether his forecast (that a narrow Section 230 liability increase for big social platforms will pass within that 2–3 year horizon) will ultimately be right or wrong.

Accordingly, the prediction is still in play, so the correct status as of November 30, 2025 is: inconclusive (too early to tell).