Robinhood IPO’d in July 2021 at around a $30–32 billion valuation, consistent with Jason’s premise.(cnbc.com) As of November 28, 2025, Robinhood (ticker: HOOD) has a market capitalization of roughly $127 billion—around 4x its IPO value, but still far below the 10–30x (≈$300–900 billion) and especially the ~$1 trillion level Jason speculated it could eventually reach.

However, his statement was explicitly probabilistic (“there’s a chance”) and open‑ended in time (“someday”). Robinhood remains an operating, independent public company with substantial equity value and growth since the IPO; nothing in the current data rules out a future path—however unlikely it may currently seem—toward a $1 trillion market cap. Because the claim concerns a nonzero chance of a very long‑term outcome, it cannot yet be definitively judged as either realized or impossible.

Given this, the prediction is not yet falsifiable as of 2025, so the appropriate assessment is that it’s too early to say whether it was right or wrong.