Evidence from mid‑2021 through fall 2021 shows that Jason’s underlying prediction substantially came true.

• Low vaccination in Alabama and Mississippi at the time. In mid‑July 2021, only about one‑third of Alabama’s population was fully vaccinated (33.7%).(alreporter.com) Mississippi’s full‑vaccination rate was similarly low—around 34–35% by late July/early August 2021.(cnbc.com) These levels match the “~33%” he cites.

• Delta did “whip through” those states in the following months. By July 2021, Mississippi’s state health officer said the Delta variant had effectively taken over all COVID transmission in the state and described a “fourth wave” driven by Delta plus low vaccination, calling it a “perfect storm for an explosion in cases.”(mississippitoday.org) Mississippi and Louisiana quickly became two of the hardest‑hit states, with very low vaccination and rapidly rising cases and hospitalizations.(cnbc.com) Mississippi’s hospitals were overwhelmed (over 1,300 COVID inpatients, no adult ICU beds available statewide by early August 2021).(mississippitoday.org) In August 2021 specifically, Mississippi had the nation’s highest rate of COVID‑19 cases and deaths per capita, confirming a severe, localized Delta wave.(en.wikipedia.org)

  Alabama, meanwhile, remained among the least‑vaccinated states and saw COVID cases and hospitalizations more than double in July 2021, with officials warning of “another deadly surge” driven by Delta and low vaccination.(alreporter.com) Alabama repeatedly had some of the nation’s lowest vaccination coverage and highest test positivity and hospitalization growth as Delta spread.(alreporter.com)

• High mortality, concentrated among older adults, in low‑vaccination states. A national Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of the Delta surge (July 1–Sept 25, 2021) found that people 65+ accounted for nearly 80% of all U.S. COVID deaths and that states with lower vaccination rates among older adults had much higher death rates in that age group.(kff.org) Alabama, one of the least‑vaccinated states for seniors, had 182 deaths per 100,000 adults 65+ during this period—almost double the national average of 93.(kff.org) A CNN analysis at the same time showed the 10 least‑vaccinated states (including Alabama and Mississippi) had COVID death rates more than four times higher than the 10 most‑vaccinated states.(keyt.com)

  Mississippi’s own data during Delta showed that the vast majority of deaths were among the unvaccinated, and that essentially all breakthrough deaths occurred in people 65 and older with high‑risk conditions, underscoring that older residents bore a disproportionate share of mortality.(mississippitoday.org) By early 2022, both Alabama and Mississippi were tied for the highest cumulative COVID death rates in the United States, reflecting the cumulative impact of these waves.(en.wikipedia.org)

Taken together, these facts show that after July 2021, Delta spread extensively through Mississippi and Alabama amid very low vaccination coverage, producing large waves of infections and especially high death rates among older residents. While Jason’s language (“you’re all gonna die”) was hyperbolic, the substantive prediction about a severe Delta wave with disproportionate mortality among older people in those low‑vaccination states was borne out by subsequent data.