Public reporting shows that Antonio García Martínez was hired by Apple in April 2021 and fired in May 2021 after an internal employee petition about passages in his book Chaos Monkeys; he publicly called Apple’s statement about his departure defamatory and said he was seeking to resolve the matter with the company.(macworld.com) In subsequent coverage and in his own later public biography, the incident is described only as his brief hiring and firing; there is no mention of any lawsuit he filed against Apple or of a settlement amount.(en.wikipedia.org) In a May 20, 2021 AppleInsider piece about a Twitter Spaces conversation, García Martínez explicitly referenced being under a strict non-disclosure agreement regarding his exit from Apple and did not provide any details about legal claims or compensation, which is consistent with a private resolution but does not reveal whether a settlement was reached or its size.(appleinsider.com) Given that more than four years have passed and no credible source has reported on a specific settlement figure (let alone one near $10 million), we cannot verify Jason Calacanis’s estimate; however, because any agreement would likely be confidential, the absence of public information doesn’t prove the prediction wrong either. Therefore, with sufficient time elapsed but key facts non-public, the prediction’s accuracy cannot be determined and is best classified as ambiguous.