Jason’s prediction had two concrete parts, both to occur within 2–3 years of May 2021 (by roughly May 2023–May 2024):

1. The U.S. would launch a central bank digital currency (CBDC).

   • The Federal Reserve’s own CBDC page states that the Fed has made no decision to pursue or implement a CBDC and is only exploring the concept. (federalreserve.gov)
   • In March 2024, Fed Chair Jerome Powell told the U.S. Senate that the United States is “nowhere near recommending or let alone adopting a [CBDC] in any form.” (cointelegraph.com)
   • Later, in January 2025 (after the prediction window), President Trump signed Executive Order 14178 explicitly prohibiting U.S. agencies from establishing, issuing, or promoting a CBDC, which confirms that no CBDC had been launched up to that point. (en.wikipedia.org)
   • FedNow, launched as an instant payments service, is explicitly stated by the Federal Reserve not to be a digital currency or CBDC. (cointelegraph.com)
     Together, these show that no U.S. CBDC was launched by May 2023–May 2024 (or even by late 2025).

2. A roughly 10% extra tax on other (non‑CBDC) cryptocurrencies to push people into the U.S. CBDC.

   • U.S. crypto is taxed under the normal capital‑gains and income tax system (short‑term taxed as ordinary income; long‑term at 0%, 15%, or 20% depending on income), with various reporting rules, but there is no special ~10% surcharge targeting non‑CBDC crypto transactions. (weex.com)
   • Overviews of U.S. virtual‑currency law and tax treatment describe registration, reporting, and enforcement measures, but again no distinct higher tax tier on crypto because it is “non‑CBDC.” (en.wikipedia.org)

Since (a) the U.S. did not launch a CBDC within 2–3 years of May 2021 and (b) no 10% penalty tax on non‑CBDC crypto was introduced in that period (or afterward), Jason’s prediction did not come true.