Reasoning

• The prediction (made in December 2020) is explicitly about ~30 years in the future: 2020 + 30 = 2050.
• The current date is November 29, 2025, which is less than 5 years after the prediction and about 25 years before the target timeframe.
• The claim is about the relative importance and size of the biodefense industry by around 2050, compared to today’s major defense or healthcare sectors. This is a long‑term structural forecast about global industry composition.
• There is no way, in 2025, to know whether the biodefense sector in 2050 will in fact be “one of the most important and sizable global industries” on par with defense or healthcare.

Because the prediction is explicitly about conditions around 2050 and we have not yet reached that timeframe, it is too early to evaluate whether it has come true.

Therefore the correct classification is: inconclusive (too early to tell).