Chamath @ 00:50:32Right
politicsgovernment
In the January 5, 2021 Georgia runoff elections, there is a high likelihood that Democrats will win both contested U.S. Senate seats.
there is a very good chance that these guys are going to win these two Senate seatsView on YouTube
Explanation
Outcome of the January 5, 2021 Georgia runoffs
- Both contested U.S. Senate seats in Georgia went to Democratic candidates in the January 5, 2021 runoff elections.
- Jon Ossoff (Democrat) defeated incumbent David Perdue (Republican) in the regular Class II Senate election. (en.wikipedia.org)
- Raphael Warnock (Democrat) defeated incumbent Kelly Loeffler (Republican) in the special election for the Class III seat. (en.wikipedia.org)
- As a result, Democrats captured both seats and secured effective control of the U.S. Senate. (en.wikipedia.org)
Assessment of the prediction
Chamath’s prediction was that “there is a very good chance that these guys are going to win these two Senate seats”—i.e., he assigned a high likelihood that Democrats would win both Georgia runoff races. Since Democrats did, in fact, win both Senate seats in the January 5, 2021 runoffs, the prediction is right.