Outcome: The prediction was wrong.

Chamath predicted a 0% chance that Donald Trump would run for president again in 2024. In reality, Trump did run in 2024, formally announced a 2024 presidential campaign, secured the Republican nomination, and was the Republican nominee in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

Key facts:

• Donald Trump formally announced his 2024 presidential campaign on November 15, 2022.
• He ran in, and won, the 2024 Republican primaries and became the Republican Party’s presidential nominee.
• Trump appeared on the ballot in the 2024 United States presidential election as the Republican nominee and won the election, securing 312 electoral votes and the presidency.

These points are documented in public election records and reporting on Trump’s 2024 campaign and the 2024 U.S. presidential election. (en.wikipedia.org)

Because Trump did run for president in 2024, a prediction of “0% chance he runs again in four years” is clearly incorrect.