Sacks @ 00:57:47Right
politics
If Donald Trump chooses to run for president in the 2024 election, he will likely win the Republican Party’s presidential nomination in 2024.
if he wants to run four years from now, um, I think he probably gets the Republican nomination again.View on YouTube
Explanation
Assessment
- Conditional prediction: If Donald Trump chooses to run for president in 2024, he will probably win the Republican Party’s presidential nomination.
- Reality:
- Trump did choose to run in the 2024 election, formally announcing his candidacy on November 15, 2022. (en.wikipedia.org)
- He then won the 2024 Republican primaries decisively, securing far more than the required delegates. (en.wikipedia.org)
- Trump was officially nominated as the Republican presidential candidate at the 2024 Republican National Convention in Milwaukee (July 15–18, 2024). (en.wikipedia.org)
Because the condition (he chooses to run) was met and the predicted outcome (he gets the Republican nomination again) occurred, the prediction is correct.
Conclusion Donald Trump ran in 2024 and became the Republican Party’s presidential nominee; therefore Sacks’s prediction is right.