The prediction is explicitly about a long-term trend: starting with the 2024 election and playing out "over subsequent election cycles," abortion supposedly becomes progressively less salient as a national wedge issue. As of 30 Nov 2025, there has not yet been another federal election cycle (e.g., the 2026 midterms or the 2028 presidential) to test whether the issue’s salience is actually declining over time. We only have partial indicators (polling, legislative fights, and 2025 state-level developments), which still show abortion as a prominent and mobilizing issue in U.S. politics, but that does not yet falsify or confirm a multi‑cycle decline in salience. Because the claim is about a trend across multiple future cycles, and we are still within the first cycle after the prediction, it is too early to determine whether it will prove correct or not. Therefore the status has to be marked as inconclusive (too early).