Bob Chapek was CEO of The Walt Disney Company from February 25, 2020, until he was dismissed by the board on November 20, 2022, when Bob Iger was brought back as CEO. This is clearly before the end of calendar year 2022, matching the timing element of the prediction. (en.wikipedia.org)

In early 2022, Chapek’s handling of Florida’s Parental Rights in Education Act (the “Don’t Say Gay” bill) sparked intense internal and external backlash. He initially declined to publicly oppose the bill and emphasized that corporate statements could be “counterproductive,” which drew strong criticism from Disney employees and creative talent, prompted open letters, and led to walkouts and public apologies, as well as a pause in Florida political donations. (cnbc.com) This controversy significantly damaged his standing with employees and the public and became one of the defining political/activism crises of his tenure.

When the board removed Chapek in November 2022, reporting based on board and executive sources described the decision as a response to a string of missteps that caused "irreparable damage" to his ability to lead and eroded confidence among Wall Street, senior executives, and many employees. (disneyfoodblog.com) Those missteps are typically enumerated to include both his poor handling of the Florida bill and other issues (such as a disastrous November 2022 earnings report and large streaming losses), with the earnings call seen as the immediate trigger. (etfdb.com)

Because Chapek did in fact lose his job as CEO before the end of 2022 and the Florida political/employee-activism controversy is consistently cited as a major factor undermining his leadership (even if not the only cause), the prediction that he would not "survive the year" as CEO as a result of that controversy is best judged as essentially correct.