NASA’s own Planetary Defense blog update on Feb. 20, 2025 reports that observations overnight on Feb. 19–20 reduced asteroid 2024 YR4’s chance of impacting Earth on Dec. 22, 2032 to 0.28% (about 1 in 360), i.e., slightly under one‑third of one percent. Independent coverage of the same NASA update likewise cites a new impact probability of 0.28–0.3%, often rounded to 0.3%, and describes it as “about 0.3%.” This is consistent with Friedberg’s wording that NASA had “dropped the probability … to about a one third of 1%,” so his characterization of the updated February 2025 NASA assessment is essentially accurate, even though NASA later reduced the probability much further (to ~0.004%) in subsequent days.