The prediction specifies a ~15‑year horizon from 2021 (i.e., until around 2036). As of late 2025, that window is far from over, so the outcome cannot yet be determined.

Current evidence:

1. U.S. dollar’s reserve status: IMF COFER data and mainstream coverage show the U.S. dollar is still the dominant global reserve currency, with roughly 57–58% of disclosed foreign‑exchange reserves at the end of 2024 and in early 2025. Other major currencies (euro, yen, pound, renminbi) collectively make up much of the balance, but none has displaced the dollar; the system is gradually diversifying but remains dollar‑centric. (reuters.com) This means the first part of the prediction (dollar no longer the world’s reserve currency) has not yet come true, but it also has not been falsified because the deadline is 2036.

2. Bitcoin as (un)official reserve currency: Central banks and governments hold some Bitcoin, but on a very small scale relative to FX reserves and gold. Current estimates put government/sovereign holdings around a few hundred thousand BTC (roughly 2–3% of supply), largely from law‑enforcement seizures or small policy experiments (e.g., El Salvador, Bhutan, Argentina), not from broad, coordinated central‑bank reserve strategies. (mexc.fm) In 2025 the U.S. did create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve using seized coins, and several countries are exploring Bitcoin in their reserve mix, but Bitcoin is still far from being the primary or widely recognized unofficial global reserve currency; the role remains speculative and marginal versus the dollar, euro, and gold. (chaincatcher.com)

Because:

• The time horizon (to ~2036) has not elapsed, and
• The predicted shift could still occur in the remaining years,

the correct classification as of November 2025 is "inconclusive" (too early to tell) rather than right or wrong.