Friedberg @ 01:27:18Inconclusive
climatescienceeconomy
By 2050, total U.S. electricity generation capacity will approximately double from ~1 TW to ~2 TW. By 2050, China’s electricity generation capacity will increase to about 8.7 TW, with roughly 88% of its power coming from renewables. By 2060, about 18% of China’s total power generation will come from nuclear reactors, if current stated plans are executed.
So today, the US has roughly one terawatt of total electricity production capacity... by 2050, the US is projected to build out an additional terawatt to getting us to two terawatts of capacity. So we're going to double our total electricity output by 2050. China, meanwhile, has a plan stated to increase electricity production to 8.7 terawatts, so basically tripling between now and 2050. 88% of their power by 2050 will be renewables. And by 2060 they've stated this goal, that they want about 18% of their overall power to come from nuclear reactors.View on YouTube
Explanation
It’s too early to evaluate this prediction. All of the claims are about outcomes in 2050 and 2060 (U.S. capacity doubling to ~2 TW by 2050; China reaching ~8.7 TW total capacity with ~88% renewables by 2050; ~18% of China’s power from nuclear by 2060). The current date is November 30, 2025, which is about 25 years before 2050 and 35 years before 2060, so there is no way yet to determine whether those long‑term build‑out and mix targets will be met. Even though there are various current plans and scenarios for U.S. and Chinese power systems, those are themselves projections and are not evidence that the 2050/2060 outcomes have already occurred or are guaranteed. Therefore the prediction cannot currently be judged as right or wrong.