This prediction concerns a future event: the Social Security Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund actually becoming insolvent (unable to fully pay scheduled benefits) sometime between 2030 and 2033.

As of November 30, 2025, that time window has not started yet, so the trust fund has not become insolvent and cannot yet be evaluated against the 2030–2033 prediction window.

Current Social Security Trustees’ reports project that the OASI Trust Fund will be depleted around 2033, after which incoming payroll taxes would still cover roughly three-quarters of scheduled benefits, but full benefits could not be paid without legislative changes. This projection matches the timing mentioned in the prediction, but it remains only a projection until the 2030–2033 period actually occurs and we see what happens in reality.

Because the prediction is about what will occur between 2030 and 2033, and we are still in 2025, there is not yet enough real-world evidence to say whether the prediction is right or wrong.

Therefore, the correct status is: it is too early to tell whether this prediction will come true.