The prediction explicitly gives an eight‑year window from November 2024 (“in the next eight years”). That window runs until roughly November 2032. As of the current date (November 30, 2025), only about one year has elapsed, so it is too early to determine whether Democrats will “lose one of California or New York” (via losing the governorship or a durable statewide majority) within that full time frame. Because the deadline has not yet passed, the prediction cannot be evaluated for accuracy at this point.