Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Chamath
Chamath @ 00:57:53Inconclusive
venture
If Hustle (Chamath's company) sustains approximately 40% annual revenue growth for the next 10 years from 2023, the company will become a very large-scale business (on the order of a major industry player by size/revenue).
by the way, if I can grow for ten years, if we can grow for ten years at 40% a year, this will be a ginormous business.View on YouTube
Explanation

The prediction is explicitly long‑term and conditional: Chamath says that if Hustle can grow revenue at ~40% annually for ten years, it will become a very large business. Ten years from the podcast date (December 2023) would be around 2033, so the forecast period has not elapsed.

Available public information confirms that Hustle was acquired by Chamath’s Social Capital in 2020 and continues to operate as a peer‑to‑peer texting platform under that ownership, with leadership changes as recently as 2025, indicating the company is still active and pursuing growth.(finsmes.com) Earlier disclosures mention revenue run‑rate above $10M and strong growth around the time of acquisition, but they do not provide detailed, current revenue or growth figures for 2023–2025.(woodsidecap.com) There is also no evidence that Hustle has already reached the scale of a top‑tier, “ginormous” industry player.

Because (1) the full 10‑year period has not yet passed, and (2) private company financials needed to verify sustained ~40% CAGR are not public, it is too early to determine whether the condition (40% growth for ten years) will be met or whether the company will ultimately reach the implied scale. Therefore the prediction cannot yet be judged as right or wrong.