Chamath predicted that Russia and Ukraine would reach a ceasefire within 2–3 weeks of March 19, 2022 (by early–mid April 2022). In reality, peace talks in March and April 2022, including meetings in Turkey and the broader Istanbul process, produced no ceasefire or peace agreement, and fighting continued.(theguardian.com) A UN-backed proposal for an Easter truce from 21–25 April 2022 was explicitly rejected by Russia and never implemented, so even a short nationwide pause in combat was not agreed.(en.wikipedia.org) Subsequent reporting and analyses up through 2025 consistently describe the war as ongoing with no overall ceasefire in place, despite various later negotiation attempts.(aljazeera.com) Therefore, his time-bound prediction of a ceasefire by mid-April 2022 did not come true.