I think in a week from now, everybody will forget what Project Nimbus is. The odds that it gets canceled are less than zero. And everybody will move on.View on YouTube
Chamath’s prediction had two parts: (1) that attention to Google’s Project Nimbus controversy would fade within a week, and (2) that the contract would not be canceled.
1. Media/public attention within a week
The episode was released April 19, 2024, so “a week from now” is roughly through April 26, 2024. In that period and immediately after:
- The Alphabet Workers Union issued an updated press release on April 25, 2024, specifically about the Project Nimbus protests and firings, keeping the story in the news and in worker organizing. (alphabetworkersunion.org)
- On April 27, 2024, The Guardian ran a high‑profile piece, “Workers accuse Google of ‘tantrum’ after 50 fired over Israel contract protest,” centered on the Project Nimbus contract and the protests around it. (theguardian.com)
- Coverage of No Tech for Apartheid and Project Nimbus continued beyond that week; the campaign’s own history and later reporting document the April 16 sit‑ins, subsequent firings, and ongoing organizing specifically aimed at ending Project Nimbus. (en.wikipedia.org)
This shows the issue did not quickly disappear from public or media attention within a week; coverage and activism continued and even escalated shortly after his time window.
2. Whether Project Nimbus was canceled
As of late 2025, Project Nimbus remains in force:
- A 2025 joint investigation by The Guardian, +972 Magazine, and Local Call analyzes leaked documents from the still‑active Nimbus contract, revealing secret provisions and confirming the deal’s ongoing status. (theguardian.com)
- In 2025, Alphabet shareholders are being asked to vote on a proposal about the human‑rights implications of its products “particularly those used in Israel’s Project Nimbus”; both Alphabet’s board and external groups discuss Nimbus as an existing contract, not a canceled one. (nypost.com)
There is no credible reporting that Nimbus was canceled due to the 2024 protests; instead, it has remained operational and a continuing source of controversy.
Overall assessment
- Wrong on the time‑bound prediction that “in a week from now, everybody will forget what Project Nimbus is,” since coverage and organizing clearly persisted and even intensified beyond that week. (theguardian.com)
- Right that Project Nimbus was not canceled as a result of those protests. (theguardian.com)
Because the emphatic, falsifiable part of the prediction (rapid disappearance of attention within a week) did not occur, the overall prediction is best classified as wrong, even though the non‑cancellation component turned out to be accurate.