Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Chamath
Chamath @ 01:33:53Inconclusive
politicsgovernment
By approximately two years from this November 2024 recording (i.e., by November 2026), David Sacks will have been convinced to run for governor of California.
There's no rumor. I'm just telling you right now that within two years, I will have convinced him to do it.View on YouTube
Explanation

The prediction window is “within two years” of the November 8, 2024 recording, i.e., by roughly November 8, 2026. As of November 30, 2025, that deadline has not yet arrived, so the prediction cannot be finally judged.

Available reporting and biographical sources describe David Sacks as serving as Trump’s White House AI and cryptocurrency czar and as co‑chair/chair of the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology; they do not report him announcing or running a campaign for governor of California, nor do they say he has decided to run. (en.wikipedia.org) Some coverage even notes that Sacks has publicly stated he has no intention of running for public office, but that is about his stated intent, not whether Chamath might yet “convince” him by late 2026. (panewslab.com)

Because:

  • The prediction’s deadline (Nov 2026) is still in the future; and
  • Whether Sacks has been internally convinced to run is not fully observable from public records,

the most appropriate status as of Nov 30, 2025 is: inconclusive (too early to tell).