The prediction describes a roughly 20‑year era starting in the early–mid 2020s that, in hindsight, will be seen as a systemic “return to originalism” in U.S. policy and jurisprudence. As of today (November 30, 2025), only a few years of that window have elapsed, so we cannot yet assess how the entire 20‑year span will look in retrospect.

Current evidence does show that originalism remains highly influential on the Supreme Court and in legal scholarship – for example, ongoing debates about originalist methods and precedent, and analysis of recent major decisions that rely on originalist reasoning. (harvardlawreview.org) But those facts only establish that originalism is important now, not that the next two decades of American governance will, on net, be remembered as an overarching “return to originalism.”

Because:

1. The prediction is explicitly about a multi‑decade historical judgment (“we’re going to look back on this era… about 20 years or so”), and
2. We are only ~1–5 years into the asserted time frame,

there is not yet enough elapsed time or hindsight to determine whether the United States will, overall, fit Chamath’s long‑range characterization.

Therefore the status of the prediction is inconclusive (too early to tell).