The prediction explicitly concerns “the next four and eight years” after late 2024—i.e., roughly through the 2028–2032 federal election cycles. At the time of evaluation (November 30, 2025), only about one year has elapsed since the prediction, and at most the 2024 general election and part of the 2026 primary cycle are in view. That is far too early to judge whether “a bunch of MAGA candidates [will] rise up to run against [anti‑MAGA Republicans] everywhere in the United States” over the full 4–8 year horizon.

While there are early signs that MAGA‑aligned candidates continue to challenge some Republican incumbents in various primaries, the prediction is about the magnitude and breadth of such challenges across one to two full federal election cycles, which extend well beyond 2025. Because the specified time window has not passed, we cannot yet determine whether the forecasted widespread surge in MAGA primary challengers has actually materialized at the scale described.

Therefore the status of this prediction is too early to call.