Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Chamath
Chamath @ 00:45:14Inconclusive
The Los Angeles Times newspaper is very likely to cease to exist as a distinct operating entity within approximately 4–5 years of February 2021 (i.e., by sometime in 2025–2026), either by shutting down or being absorbed in a way that ends it as a standalone publication.
there’s a Wall Street Journal alert. Um, for the owner of the LA times who's about to sell the times, like it's very likely that the times in 4 or 5 years doesn't even exist.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of November 29, 2025, the Los Angeles Times is still operating as a distinct newspaper and brand. Its own website is actively publishing news stories dated November 29, 2025, and continues to sell subscriptions and promote its eNewspaper, confirming it remains a standalone publication rather than a shuttered or fully absorbed asset. (latimes.com)

In July 2025, owner Patrick Soon‑Shiong announced plans to form a new media entity, the “L.A. Times Next Network,” which would include the Los Angeles Times along with several of his other media and tech businesses, and to offer shares to the public via a Regulation A-style offering. This restructuring still treats the Los Angeles Times as a core, named component of the new company, not as a discontinued or merged-away title. (latimes.com) External coverage from Reuters, AP and others likewise describes the paper as a 143‑year‑old newspaper that will be taken public, not as an entity slated for closure. (investing.com) A current encyclopedia-style overview also notes that Soon‑Shiong announced in July 2025 that he would be taking the paper public within a year, again indicating ongoing operations. (en.wikipedia.org)

The normalized prediction was that it was very likely the Los Angeles Times would cease to exist as a distinct operating entity within roughly 4–5 years of February 2021, i.e., by sometime in 2025–2026. As of late 2025, that outcome has clearly not occurred, but the upper end of the forecast window (into 2026) has not yet passed. Because the specified time horizon is not over, we cannot definitively mark the prediction as right or wrong yet, even though present evidence points against it materializing on time; thus it is best classified as inconclusive (too early).