The prediction concerns “the next major U.S. election cycle after August 2025” and claims that real wage growth / stagnant wages vs. rising costs will become a central, compelling campaign issue for at least one major party or prominent candidate.

As of November 30, 2025, the next clearly major election cycle is the 2026 midterm elections (and beyond that, the 2028 presidential cycle). The 2026 cycle has only just begun to take shape; candidate fields, party platforms, and dominant themes are still emerging and will evolve through 2026. While there is ongoing coverage of inflation, cost of living, and wages across U.S. politics and media, it is too early to determine whether real wage growth specifically will crystallize as a central campaign plank for a major party or marquee candidate in the 2026 (or 2028) cycle.

Given the timing relative to the prediction horizon, there is not yet enough evidence to conclusively say the prediction is right or wrong, so the correct evaluation is that it is still pending.