Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Sacks @ 01:25:55Inconclusive
aimarkets
Conditional on its current growth and valuation trend continuing, OpenAI’s private or public equity valuation will reach approximately $1 trillion within a couple of years of this August 2025 discussion (i.e., by around 2027).
They could be $1 trillion company in a couple of years if if the trend continues.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of November 30, 2025, it is too early to determine whether this prediction is correct. Sacks’s claim was explicitly conditional (“if the trend continues”) and specified a time frame of “a couple of years” from August 2025, which reasonably extends out to around August 2027. We are still within that window, so the prediction cannot yet be evaluated as right or wrong.

Available reporting in 2023–2025 has discussed OpenAI’s private valuation in the range of roughly $80–$90 billion after major funding from investors such as Microsoft and others, but there is no credible evidence yet of a ~$1 trillion private valuation or IPO that would put its market cap at that level. (These figures come from financial and tech news coverage of OpenAI’s secondary share sales and investor deals.) However, the absence of a $1T valuation by late 2025 does not falsify a forecast whose deadline is ~2027.

Because the prediction deadline has not arrived, the only defensible classification is that it is inconclusive (too early) rather than right, wrong, or permanently ambiguous.