Last updated Nov 29, 2025
politicseconomy
Within the next one to two years, and particularly in the next U.S. election cycle after August 2025, limiting institutional purchases of homes will become a widely popular political issue and policy proposal.
If we really want to solve this today, besides solving the government spending problem and inflation problem and dollar devaluation problem, which obviously require cutting spending, I think it's going to need to be some sort of set of rules around making sure that homes are not being bought up by institutions. That's one that I think is going to be a pretty popular point that's going to come up in the next year or two, particularly in the next election cycle.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of 30 November 2025, only a few months have passed since the prediction was made on 15 August 2025, while the prediction window is explicitly “the next year or two, particularly in the next election cycle.” That window runs roughly until mid‑2027 and includes the 2026 election cycle, which has not yet fully played out. So it is too early to judge whether the issue will become widely popular in national politics.

There are clear signs that limiting institutional purchases of homes is emerging as a policy idea: for example, New York Governor Kathy Hochul has proposed rules restricting hedge funds and private‑equity firms from buying homes early in their listing period and cutting related tax benefits, explicitly targeting “shadowy private equity giants” for worsening housing shortages. (apnews.com) California’s AB 2584 would bar large institutional investors (owning >1,000 single‑family homes) from buying more single‑family properties for rentals, and has advanced through the legislature. (a24.asmdc.org) Washington’s SB 5496 seeks to limit excessive single‑family home buying by entities owning more than 25 such properties. (lawfilesext.leg.wa.gov) A Virginia bill aims to ban large investment firms from purchasing single‑family homes, (axios.com) and Texas has debated but not yet passed measures to curb institutional homebuying. (houstonchronicle.com) These show the idea is gaining traction in various states.

However, the prediction is about becoming a widely popular political issue and policy plank in the next U.S. election cycle, not merely about the existence of some state‑level proposals or growing policy discussion. With the key election cycle (2026) still ahead and the full 1–2‑year horizon not yet elapsed, we cannot yet determine whether it will become a broadly central, bipartisan or mass‑salience campaign issue. Therefore the correct status today is “inconclusive (too early).”