Chamath @ 00:39:19Inconclusive
economy
If current trends in births, deaths, and net migration continue, Los Angeles County will reach approximately zero net births (births plus immigration minus deaths) before the year 2100.
There is a stat in this article as an example, in the county of Los Angeles, um, we are now in the last 20 years, we've seen a 50% reduction in the birth rate in LA from 150,000 births a year to about 100. And if you forecast that forward, you know, before the turn of the century, the county of Los Angeles will have zero net births. If you run, if you run, if you run the. That's insane.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction is about a demographic outcome before the year 2100 ("before the turn of the century, the county of Los Angeles will have zero net births"). As of today (November 30, 2025), that future date has not arrived, so it is impossible to say yet whether Los Angeles County will in fact reach approximately zero net births by then. Demographic trends (fertility, mortality, and net migration) can and do change in response to policy, economics, culture, and immigration patterns over many decades, so any long-range forecast out to 2100 remains speculative. Because the forecast horizon is still 75 years away, the correct evaluation is that it is too early to determine whether the prediction is right or wrong.