Sacks @ 00:06:34Wrong
politics
Over the roughly ten months following this January 2022 recording, if Democrats and MSNBC continue to emphasize January 6th coverage, the Republican "red wave" in the November 2022 midterm elections will be especially large.
If you watch MSNBC, it's all January 6th all the time. And, you know, if Democrats are going to focus on this issue for the next ten months... This red wave in November is going to be an even bigger wave.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction tied continued Democratic/MSNBC focus on January 6th to an "even bigger" Republican red wave in the November 2022 midterms. In reality, the widely anticipated red wave did not materialize:
- Republicans captured the U.S. House of Representatives but only with a very narrow majority (222–213), far smaller than typical midterm wave elections and below many pre‑election expectations.
- Democrats held the U.S. Senate and even gained a seat (moving from 50–50 with the vice president breaking ties to 51–49 after the 2022 elections), which is inconsistent with a large opposition-wave outcome.
- Post‑election analyses in major outlets broadly concluded that the expected Republican “red wave” failed to appear, stressing the underperformance of GOP candidates relative to historical midterm patterns and polling expectations.
Since the core, testable part of the prediction was that the 2022 midterms would bring an especially large Republican wave, and the eventual outcome was at best a modest Republican advantage in the House and a net Democratic gain in the Senate, the prediction is wrong.