I went with Ron DeSantis with you sacks...And I think Trump is not going to want to run. And that brings me to my biggest political loser for 2022...I think Biden is going to lose the midterms. And I think Trump is going to get destroyed with this January 6th thing and bow out and not run again.View on YouTube
The prediction has two clear parts:
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“Biden is going to lose the midterms” (i.e., Democrats lose in 2022).
In the 2022 U.S. midterms, Republicans won control of the U.S. House of Representatives, flipping it from Democratic control, while Democrats narrowly held the Senate. (dw.com) In common U.S. political language, losing the House majority is widely described as the president’s party “losing the midterms,” so this sub‑prediction is broadly correct. -
“Trump is going to get destroyed with this January 6th thing and bow out and not run again.”
The January 6th Committee completed its work and issued a lengthy final report in late 2022, formally blaming Trump for efforts to overturn the 2020 election. (en.wikipedia.org) However, on November 15, 2022, Trump announced a new presidential campaign for 2024 in an address from Mar‑a‑Lago. (en.wikipedia.org) He thus did not “bow out” of presidential politics or “decide not to run again,” even if the investigations may have hurt him politically.
Because this is a conjunctive prediction (both parts are presented together as his political call for 2022) and the second, crucial component is clearly false, the overall prediction must be evaluated as wrong.