Stripe did not go public at all in 2022, via IPO, direct listing, or SPAC, so the conditional prediction about it becoming the highest-valued tech IPO/listing in history did not materialize.

Evidence:

• As of the end of 2022, Stripe remained a private company; major financial and tech press tracked Stripe’s status closely and reported multiple private funding rounds and valuation changes (e.g., a March 2021 round valuing it at $95B and later markdowns), but no public listing in 2022.
• Later reporting (2023–2025) discussing Stripe’s potential IPO consistently noted that Stripe still had not gone public yet, implicitly confirming there was no IPO/direct listing in 2022.

Because the predicate event (“Stripe goes public in 2022”) failed, the forecast that this 2022 listing would set a new record IPO valuation is, in practical forecast-scoring terms, wrong: the world in which it was supposed to happen never occurred, and the prediction’s implied real-world claim (“we will see Stripe go public in 2022 at a record valuation”) did not come true.