The Supreme Court did not issue any ruling on the merits of affirmative action in the 1–2 month window after December 17, 2021. During that period, the key development was that the Court granted certiorari in Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard and Students for Fair Admissions v. University of North Carolina on January 24, 2022—meaning it agreed to hear the cases but did not decide them.(harvardmagazine.com)

The Court’s actual strict opinion significantly curtailing affirmative action in higher education came much later, on June 29, 2023, in Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard (consolidated with the UNC case). There the Court held that Harvard’s and UNC’s race-conscious admissions programs violated the Equal Protection Clause, effectively ending traditional affirmative action in college admissions and abrogating earlier precedents like Grutter and Fisher.(en.wikipedia.org) Because this merits decision arrived about a year and a half after the predicted 1–2 month horizon, the prediction—tied explicitly to that short timeframe—is assessed as wrong, even though a substantively similar outcome eventually occurred on a much longer timescale.