Last updated Nov 29, 2025
politicsgovernment
In San Francisco’s February 15, 2022 recall election for the school board, at least two of the three targeted board members will be successfully recalled, and that outcome will prompt Mayor London Breed to publicly support the recall of District Attorney Chesa Boudin in the June 2022 election.
So here's my prediction on February 15th. They are having the recall election for the education board, and I predict that that board, at least two of the three are going to be recalled. The parents are sick and are sick and tired of it. They are going to be out. I think that's going to embolden London Breed to then support the recall of Chase Boudin in the June election.View on YouTube
Explanation

The prediction had two parts:

  1. School board recall outcome (Feb. 15, 2022)
    The prediction said that in San Francisco’s school board recall, at least two of the three targeted commissioners would be recalled. In reality, all three—Alison Collins, Gabriela López, and Faauuga Moliga—were removed from office in the February 15, 2022 election. (en.wikipedia.org)
    → This part of the prediction was correct.

  2. London Breed would publicly support the June 2022 recall of DA Chesa Boudin
    Multiple contemporaneous reports state that Mayor London Breed declined to take a position on the Boudin recall; she did not issue a formal public endorsement of the recall campaign before the June 7, 2022 vote. (cbsnews.com) Coverage after the election likewise notes that she “did not take a position on the race”, even while having publicly clashed with Boudin and later appointing recall supporter Brooke Jenkins as DA. (hotair.com) Another outlet explicitly reports that Breed "has not spoken publicly about her stance on the race" prior to the vote. (courthousenews.com)

So although Breed was widely seen as tacitly favoring Boudin’s removal and did appoint a recall backer as his replacement, she did not publicly or formally endorse the recall itself in the run‑up to the June 2022 election.

Because the prediction required both components to occur, and the second (a public endorsement of the recall by Breed) did not happen, the overall prediction is wrong.