Evidence since 2021 shows that China has indeed experienced large‑scale, politically charged protest waves and rising social unrest, consistent with Jason’s prediction of “revolutionary movements,” even though the CCP regime has not fallen.

Key points:

1. 2022 “White Paper Revolution” / anti–zero‑Covid protests

   • Following the deadly November 2022 Ürümqi fire, protests and vigils broke out in Ürümqi, Shanghai, Beijing, Nanjing and many university campuses. Demonstrators condemned the government’s zero‑Covid policy, and in Shanghai some called for Xi Jinping and the CCP to step down—an explicitly anti‑regime demand.
   • Participants used blank A4 sheets as a symbol of resistance to censorship, leading media and observers to label the events the “White Paper Revolution” or “A4 revolution.” (en.wikipedia.org)
   • The protests spanned dozens of cities and campuses and were widely described as the largest politically motivated mass demonstrations in China since 1989, forcing a rapid reversal of the zero‑Covid policy. (peoplenewstoday.com)
     These protests are exactly the sort of revolutionary movement / serious social unrest Jason described, short of regime overthrow.

2. Ongoing protest and dissent trend

   • Data from protest‑tracking projects (e.g., China Dissent Monitor, China Labour Bulletin) indicate a sharp rise in strikes and protests in 2023 and after, with 2023 recording the highest strike activity since 2016 and labor unrest making up a growing share of dissent nationwide. (en.wikipedia.org)
   • Notable episodes include the Zhengzhou Foxconn worker protests in November 2022 (violent clashes linked to Covid controls and contract disputes) and 2023 pensioner protests over healthcare reforms, where thousands of retirees in Wuhan and Dalian demonstrated and chanted slogans like “down with the reactionary government.” (en.wikipedia.org)
     While many of these are issue‑specific, the frequency and intensity of unrest clearly increased in the “coming years” after 2021.

3. Continued localized unrest into 2025

   • Recent reporting notes significant rural and local protests—for example, 2025 demonstrations in Guizhou over a cremation mandate and 2025 city‑wide protests in Jiangyou over a bullying case—showing that disruptive public dissent continues despite repression. (theguardian.com)

4. Regime stability

   • Despite these movements, there has been no overthrow or collapse of the CCP regime; Xi Jinping remains in power. The prediction explicitly allowed for the regime not falling while still seeing revolutionary movements.

Putting this together: between late 2022 and at least 2025, China experienced exactly the kind of large‑scale, politically charged protest waves and serious unrest Jason forecast, without regime change. On that basis, the prediction is substantively correct, so the appropriate label is "right".