Chamath @ 01:14:30Inconclusive
politicstechgovernment
By the end of the 2020s (by December 31, 2029), the four major U.S. tech monopolies being discussed (the core FAANG‑type platforms) will have been structurally broken up so that they no longer exist in their then‑current integrated forms, primarily as a result of antitrust or regulatory action.
we have four enormous monopolies on our hands. And if I was a betting man. End of decade, these four monopolies will not exist.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction’s deadline is “end of decade” → December 31, 2029. Today is November 30, 2025, so there are more than four years remaining in the 2020s. Even if we perfectly identified which four “enormous monopolies” Chamath was referring to among the FAANG‑type platforms (e.g., Facebook/Meta, Apple, Amazon, Google/Alphabet), we cannot yet say whether they will or won’t be structurally broken up by the stated deadline. Because the prediction is explicitly about the state of these companies by the end of the decade, and that date hasn’t arrived, its correctness cannot yet be evaluated. Therefore the only appropriate status is: inconclusive (too early to tell).