Jason @ 00:57:30Inconclusive
aieconomy
Over time (no specific date given, but implied within the foreseeable future), most or all current driving and low-skill logistics roles such as Uber and DoorDash drivers, truck drivers, and Amazon warehouse/factory workers in the US will be eliminated due to automation and AI.
they have somebody in their family who drives for Uber or DoorDash. They have truck drivers, they have Amazon factory workers, and all those jobs are going away. It's just a matter of when.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction is explicitly open‑ended – “all those jobs are going away. It’s just a matter of when” – with no concrete time horizon. As of November 30, 2025, there is strong evidence that these roles still exist at large scale in the U.S., but that does not by itself falsify a claim that they will disappear eventually.
Evidence that the jobs still exist in large numbers (so they are not “gone” yet):
- Uber / DoorDash‑type driving: Uber reports 8.8 million drivers and couriers on its platform worldwide in Q2 2025, with U.S. rideshare drivers estimated at over 1 million, and total U.S. rideshare drivers (Uber + Lyft) around 1.7 million as of 2025. These numbers have been growing, not shrinking to zero. (grabon.com)
- Truck drivers: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports about 2.24 million heavy and tractor‑trailer truck driving jobs in 2024 and projects 4% employment growth from 2024–2034, roughly in line with average occupation growth. (bls.gov) This is inconsistent with near‑term elimination.
- Amazon warehouse/factory workers: Amazon’s total global workforce was about 1.5–1.6 million employees in 2024–2025, most in warehouse and logistics roles, and the company is investing heavily in robotics and AI while also continuing large‑scale human operations. (ft.com) Internal documents suggest a goal to automate ~600,000 U.S. warehouse jobs and 75% of operations by 2033, which implies gradual reduction rather than completed elimination today. (nypost.com)
Why the status of the prediction is inconclusive rather than wrong:
- The quote gives no deadline (e.g., “within 5 years”). It just asserts that these jobs will go away “over time” and that it’s “a matter of when.” That kind of unbounded forecast can’t be disproven only ~6 weeks after it was made.
- Available data show substantial current employment and even projected medium‑term growth for truck drivers, plus ongoing large workforces for rideshare and Amazon warehouses. That undermines any short‑term version of the claim, but is not enough to prove that long‑run elimination by automation and AI won’t happen.
- Because the horizon is undefined and we cannot yet observe the long‑run outcome, the correct assessment as of November 30, 2025 is that it’s too early to judge the prediction’s ultimate truth.
So, the prediction is not yet supported by current facts, but it also hasn’t been falsified, given its vague, long‑term wording. Hence the status: inconclusive (too early).