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Last updated Nov 29, 2025
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Jason @ 01:05:30Wrong
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From 2025 onward, Germany and the broader European Union will permanently cease purchasing Russian oil, i.e., they will not resume importing Russian oil in the future.
Germany. These people are never going to buy his oil again.View on YouTube
Explanation

The normalized prediction claims that from 2025 onward, Germany and the broader EU will permanently cease purchasing Russian oil.

  • Germany: Evidence indicates Germany halted Russian crude oil imports at the start of 2023 and has not resumed them. Statista data show Germany has imported “almost no” Russian crude oil in the last two years up to December 2024, and German officials have stated that the country no longer relies on direct Russian energy imports.(statista.com) As of late 2025 there are no reports of Germany restarting Russian oil purchases, so Germany alone is consistent with the prediction so far.

  • European Union as a whole:

    • The EU sharply reduced but did not end Russian oil imports. A European Parliament briefing (Nov 20, 2025) notes that Russian crude oil fell from 27% of EU crude imports in 2021 to 3% in 2024, and it outlines a roadmap to end Russian oil imports only by the end of 2027, implying ongoing imports into 2025.(europarl.europa.eu)
    • Statista data show the EU still imported about 710,000 metric tons of oil and petroleum products from Russia in August 2024.(statista.com)
    • Shipping analysis for April 2025 finds that the EU still received about 6% of Russia’s seaborne crude exports, with Novorossiysk a major port for shipments to the EU, confirming continued purchases in 2025.(bssc.pl)
    • As late as November 28, 2025, AP reports that Hungary, an EU member state, “continued reliance on Russian oil and gas” and had secured exemptions allowing it to maintain energy imports from Russia.(apnews.com)

Because at least one EU member (and thus the EU as a bloc) is still importing Russian oil after the prediction date, the claim that the EU would, from 2025 onward, permanently stop buying Russian oil is already false. Even though we cannot yet evaluate “never” in an absolute sense, the condition that no EU oil purchases from Russia occur from 2025 onward is clearly not met.

Since the normalized prediction is about Germany and the broader EU, and the EU part has been falsified, the overall prediction is wrong.