The prediction window is roughly 10 years from the podcast’s release on May 31, 2025, i.e., until around May 31, 2035. As of today (November 30, 2025), we are only about 6 months into that 10‑year period.

Current data show that the occupation of taxi/cab driver is still substantial:

• The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports about 204,000 taxi drivers in 2024 and actually projects 11% employment growth for taxi drivers from 2024 to 2034, not disappearance.(bls.gov)
• Broader counts that include taxi, shuttle drivers, and chauffeurs show hundreds of thousands of workers and projected overall growth of about 9% through 2034.(bls.gov)
• Industry statistics and business‑count datasets show thousands of taxi service businesses operating in the U.S. as of late 2025.(poidata.io)

Robotaxis are growing but from a very small base: estimates put the total number of active robotaxis in the U.S. at around 1,000 vehicles in early–mid 2025, versus well over 150,000–200,000 human taxi drivers.(eprnews.com) This demonstrates early disruption but nowhere near elimination of the occupation.

However, the prediction is explicitly about conditions around 2035, and we are still nearly a decade away. The present evidence (continued employment and even projected growth for taxi drivers through 2034) suggests the forecast may be overly pessimistic about the survival of the job, but it is still logically possible that policy, technology, and market dynamics over the next 9–10 years could change the trajectory.

Because the deadline has not arrived yet, the correct status is that it is too early to declare the prediction right or wrong.